John Rustad was recently in 亚洲天堂 Lake speaking to community members about the challenges that the forest products industry is currently facing in northern B.C.

The MLA for Nechako Lakes painted a bleak picture of the industry, mentioning challenges associated with the softwood lumber agreement, annual allowable cut reductions, spruce beetle and duties imposed by the U.S.

鈥淭here鈥檚 no real opportunity in my mind to see a softwood lumber deal any time soon,鈥� he said during the recent event at the Heritage Centre. 鈥淚t looks to me that it鈥檚 going to be between three to five years before we get to another softwood lumber deal.鈥�

The 2006 softwood lumber agreement, which provided stability and predictability for industry on both sides of the border, expired on Oct. 12, 2015.

鈥淚鈥檇 like to be an optimist on it, but the reality is that the U.S. Lumber Coalition鈥� what they鈥檙e asking is completely unrealistic,鈥� he continued.

鈥淲hen we [B.C. Liberals] were still in government, we were really close to being able to reach a deal between Canada and the U.S., and we took the framework of that deal to [Canadian] producers. The U.S. took the [same] framework to the U.S. Lumber Coalition and they just rejected it. So there haven鈥檛 been any substantial negotiations since August between Canada and the U.S.鈥�

鈥淲e鈥檙e gonna have to fight this in court, go through a process, win, which we always have, to get them [U.S. Lumber Coalition] to the table to do it together.鈥�

High lumber prices offsetting impacts

According to Rustad, high lumber prices are helping offset many of the impacts that the Canadian forest products industry is facing.

鈥淨uite frankly, with lumber prices as high as they are, if we can get tariffs down to 15 per cent, with free access to the United States, I think that鈥檚 good enough,鈥� he said. 鈥淚 don鈥檛 like the fact that there are tariffs at all, but maybe that鈥檚 good enough.鈥�

Last November the U.S. Department of Commerce announced its final determination of duties of 20.83 per cent to be applied to the majority of Canadian softwood lumber shipments entering the U.S.

鈥淲ith lumber prices high, it will not be very impactful; but if lumber prices start dropping off, it will become a much more serious issue.鈥�

Annual allowable cut reductions

Another pressing issue that the forest products industry is facing is the reduction in annual allowable cut (AAC).

鈥淲e鈥檝e seen the first drop, and we鈥檒l see another one in 2020. That will impact of number of mills in the region,鈥� said Rustad. 鈥淚t鈥檚 gonna create some challenges in our communities.鈥�

Due to the impending AAC reduction, after 2020, the 亚洲天堂 Lake Community Forest and the Chinook Community Forest will represent only a portion of the log supply required to keep Babine Forest Products and Decker Lake Forest Products operating.

鈥淲here the impacts will fall it鈥檚 hard to say, but there will be some impacts for sure,鈥� said Rustad.

Spruce beetle growing faster than expected

Rustad said the spruce beetle, a forest pest that is native to spruce forests and attacks the inner bark of these trees, is a growing concern in British Columbia.

鈥淭hat is a problem that鈥檚 growing way faster than I thought,鈥� he said. 鈥淭he magnitude of the problem wasn鈥檛 well known in previous years.鈥�

According to the province鈥檚 latest areal overview survey, the total infested area in B.C. has nearly doubled this year 鈥� from 283,083 hectares in 2016 to 501,873 hectares in 2017.

Over 8100 hectares of forests have been damaged by spruce beetle in the Lakes timber supply area 鈥� a significant increase from 2016, when 1200 hectares had been damaged, and from the 58 hectares damaged in 2014.

鈥淲hat we need to do is have strategies and try to utilize it [timber supply] as much as possible and work our way through it.鈥�