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Vancouver Island slides west, tremors could signal tectonic shifting

More than 2,000 recent tiny tremors a reminder to be earthquake ready on Vancouver Island
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A map pinpoints unfelt tremors online at pnsn.org. (Pacific Northwest Seismic Record)

More than 2,000 tiny tremors recorded in the south Island and Puget Sound area may mean a small move to the west for Vancouver Island.

It鈥檚 too soon to tell, but likely they鈥檙e an indicator of 鈥渆pisodic tremor and slip,鈥 said John Cassidy, an earthquake seismologist with Natural Resources Canada. His research involves all aspects of earthquake hazard studies to help mitigate the impact of future earthquakes in Canada.

It鈥檚 not uncommon for the little bursts to happen with hundreds of tremors but the episodic tremor and slip (ETS) events happen about every 14 months and include a little tectonic movement. Puget Sound is on track for an ETS, with the last in October 2020. Southern Vancouver Island had one in February.

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ETSs were discovered a decade ago, through global positioning data, Cassidy said when researchers noted that at the same time as a large number of tremors, the plate beneath the region shifts a few millimetres 鈥 the thickness of five dimes 鈥 to the west over the course of a week or two.

鈥淚t鈥檚 really tiny and it鈥檚 really slow but it鈥檚 remarkable we can see this with our instruments,鈥 Cassidy said.

Typically, Vancouver Island is slowly moving east.

Within the week researchers should have confirmation if this is an ETS event.

鈥淎t this point, it looks like one, it has all the characteristics, but we鈥檒l be looking for this subtle slip,鈥 Cassidy said.

Questions remain about the events themselves 鈥 for example, the cause and where the energy is coming from 鈥 but they serve as solid reminders about life on the coast, Cassidy said.

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This is an active subduction zone. Residents should be ready.

鈥淚t鈥檚 easy to forget about earthquakes and what to do, so just practising that on a regular basis is good,鈥 Cassidy said. The Great B.C. ShakeOut (), held the third Thursday in October each year, is geared to exactly that.

Damaging occur every decade or so and magnitude nine earthquakes happen offshore four to six centuries apart, Cassidy said. The last known was Jan. 26, 1700. That date comes from written records of a tsunami that hit Japan at the time. Researchers derived the time and place of the original earthquake from wave heights and arrival times noted in Japan. Local Indigenous oral traditions also describe exactly what would be expected in one of those earthquakes 鈥 on a winter鈥檚 night, before settlers arrived.

鈥淭hey happened before, they鈥檒l happen again,鈥 Cassidy noted.

He suggests the Capital Regional District鈥檚 website, , for resources across Greater Victoria and practical, simple advice that can make a difference after an earthquake.

Black Press Media also produced a resource guide for local residents. It is available online at vicnews.com under e-editions.

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c.vanreeuwyk@blackpress.ca


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Christine van Reeuwyk

About the Author: Christine van Reeuwyk

Longtime journalist with the Greater Victoria news team.
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